Global Climate Change 2024. Carbon brief’s analysis indicates a 95% probability that this year will surpass 2023 as. According to ncei’s global annual temperature outlook, there is a 22% chance that 2024 will rank as the warmest year on record and a 99% chance that it will rank in the top five.

Extreme weather events, critical change to earth systems — which is a new entrant this year —. Global warming surpassed 1.5 degrees celsius over the past 12 months for the first time on record, new data shows, breaching a critical threshold that, if it continues, will push the limits of.